Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 3, 2021

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Mon Aug 16 18:19:21 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I really wouldn't want to have to predict this thing myself, it seems like there are 5 or 6 variables that are huge unknowns and they interact in complicated ways. But if you see overconfident predictions elsewhere, note that there really isn't any consensus. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The models the CDC tracks are all over the place OTOH with about half predicting continued exponential growth and about half thinking we're at peak. (Weirdly, not many think we're somewhere in between, even though that's probably the most prudent answer.) https://t.co/dEn8whexd8 https://t.co/Yv3hrjwDcA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @youyanggu: @NateSilver538 I believe Bill's Tweet is an example of survivorship bias. He's only pointing out countries where the policie… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2021 Retweet