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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
That sounds like something out of an Aaron Sorkin movie. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The key vote against eliminating the filibuster is in a state that Biden lost by 39 points. You have to be kind of an idiot to think his persuasive powers would do much good. — PolitiTweet.org
Nathan J Robinson @NathanJRobinson
If Biden had come in on day 1 and said: we need to get rid of the filibuster, what will it take to get all the othe… https://t.co/kQXBGsMCad
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I like the Bucks but man this series is not doing a lot so far to challenge their reputation as playoff underperformers. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @galendruke: 🎧 New pod 🎧 We covered lots today: -- New Mexico's special election -- Joe Manchin's op-ed -- Trump's re-emergence -- dea… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@allahpundit Not crazy! Just speaking personally I was pretty obsessed with getting tested if there was anything remotely weird going on pre-vax but I haven't felt that way post-vax. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It seems like it might be worth tracking down why this happened. For instance, if there's more seasonality than the models assumed, that's good for now but might not be great news in the fall/winter depending on which variants come our way. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
COVID in the US (we're now averaging about 14K per day or 90K per week) have fallen faster than all 22 models that the CDC tracks predicted. https://t.co/UpZNmgjdN8 https://t.co/iVA48AJd1M — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @mkonnikova: Tomorrow, join me and @NateSilver538 for the paperback launch of “The Biggest Bluff.” Very excited for this conversation! @… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
😬 https://t.co/yI1HYZyD87 https://t.co/smnMf8tiwP — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I'd strongly encourage people to read the story. I'm fairly surprised that some of the principals in the story think it reflects well on them. https://t.co/iC7PkKzijT — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I swear I'm sick of posting about the lab-leak stuff, but it seems very warped that a bunch of prominent scientists… https://t.co/hPMCIcmdku
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
People should read the story for themselves but my "interpretation" is straightforward and self-evident. A group of people are discouraging the pursuit of knowledge and scientific truth for transparently political reasons. — PolitiTweet.org
Amy Maxmen, PhD @amymaxmen
.@NateSilver538 willfully misinterprets me to fit his false narrative that the libs/mainstream media/mainstream sci… https://t.co/gsO8BiLkMu
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ryanmatsumoto1 I mean, he might know that already! The issue is that maybe (in being against HR1) he *is* voting his conscience and he's entirely sincere about the bipartisanship thing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
He's signaled all along that he wasn't on board with HR1. He's also left the door open on HR4 (a.k.a. the John Lewis Voting Rights Act). So Democrats can work on something along those lines...or hope to add a Senate seat or two (and hold the House) in 2022. Those are the options. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There aren't a lot of ways to exercise pressure on Manchin. Biden and other Democrats aren't popular in his state. A primary challenge probably wouldn't work (and if it did, the nominee would lose the general election) and he may not run for re-election anyway. — PolitiTweet.org
Andrew Lawrence @ndrew_lawrence
everyone mad at manchin and rightfully so but that asshole would cave under the slightest pressure and dems arent even trying
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ABCPolitics: Voters in New York City are faced with a ranked system of voting for mayor this election—could that change the outcome? @F… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @nytopinion: "The miracle of these vaccines, which have exceeded my wildest hopes, means that we can safely return to the things that ma… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The public option is a substantively important policy, but was also the most important *symbolic* fight in progressive politics in like 2008-10. Now it's still a substantively important policy but it's sort of getting ignored. https://t.co/aiuF5LEmWP — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Am I feeling optimistic about the long-term health of American institutions today? I am not. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Feel like there's a lack of hot takes from Democrats blaming Cal Cunningham for his sexts. Probably made just enough difference in a 2-point race and a 51-vote Senate would be a different world since Sinema is more subject to electoral pressure (a primary challenge) than Manchin. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
https://t.co/DXNewUJ5nC — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@conorsen Barry Bonds — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@saletan I think this is going beyond mere overconfidence, though. Some scientists were behaving in an expressly political way to shape public perception of what the scientific consensus was. https://t.co/g8eaJzWqow — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's a lot of reporting here and overall my takeaway is ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ But one theme is that different groups of experts often actively work to define their group's position as the *scientific consensus* in the public/media's mind when sometimes it isn't. https://t.co/ACxObR6O6q — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@EdMillerPoker Trump, arguably. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@WaltHickey That's the best "blockade America" map but not enough Canada or hot takes — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Texas / New Mexico / Utah / Idaho Advantages: * Divide the United States in two * Border both Canada and Mexico * Access to Gulf of Mexico * Ensure robust economic growth through economy of hot takes about whether Utah and New Mexico are contiguous — PolitiTweet.org
Adam Kotsko @adamkotsko
You can only choose four contiguous states for your new breakaway nation. https://t.co/WBorOrXfo1
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@conorsen Yeah and honestly the failure of many people to recognize this is telling of a certain detachment of the expert class. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Better outcomes defined how? There is a cost to excessive COVID precautions. If schools are still closed for in-person learning or vaccinated people are not seeing family and friends because of incorrect risk assessment, those aren't good outcomes. — PolitiTweet.org
Mathew Ingram @mathewi
Counterpoint: pessimism about COVID has arguably helped create better outcomes https://t.co/vhwGYAjgWL
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's little chance you'd end up with this bill if you'd started drafting something freshly in Jan. 2021, accounting for what we learned over the past 2 years (i.e. the increased threat of electoral subversion) and that Dems now do have the trifecta but by super narrow margins. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Also worth keeping in mind HR1 was drafted in 2019, when Democrats controlled the House but not the Senate or the presidency. That is to say, it had no chance of becoming law and it bears the hallmarks of that: a smorgasbord of priorities but not tightly-crafted language. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
More generally, there's this weird thing that's going on with the HR1 push: there's not really much evidence of an… https://t.co/5yKP5r09U9
