Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 8, 2021

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Wed Jun 02 13:36:48 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's little chance you'd end up with this bill if you'd started drafting something freshly in Jan. 2021, accounting for what we learned over the past 2 years (i.e. the increased threat of electoral subversion) and that Dems now do have the trifecta but by super narrow margins. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also worth keeping in mind HR1 was drafted in 2019, when Democrats controlled the House but not the Senate or the presidency. That is to say, it had no chance of becoming law and it bears the hallmarks of that: a smorgasbord of priorities but not tightly-crafted language. — PolitiTweet.org

More generally, there's this weird thing that's going on with the HR1 push: there's not really much evidence of an… https://t.co/5yKP5r09U9

Posted June 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Better outcomes defined how? There is a cost to excessive COVID precautions. If schools are still closed for in-person learning or vaccinated people are not seeing family and friends because of incorrect risk assessment, those aren't good outcomes. — PolitiTweet.org

Counterpoint: pessimism about COVID has arguably helped create better outcomes https://t.co/vhwGYAjgWL

Posted June 2, 2021