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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

RT @s8mb: Interesting datapoint. If your model of housing constraints is that it’s boomers trying to protect their wealth, this doesn’t fit… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Does Joe Biden love Christmas too much? https://t.co/azyPx5Ds3k — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

RT @attackerman: Are you interested in super niche rants about what’s wrong with obscure wartime watchdog organizations? Because I have tha… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Amazing https://t.co/fXOKERJVxm https://t.co/DfM9L3N12w — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

The fact that both housing and health care are characterized by inefficient rules that redistribute income upward should look larger in the discourse — these are the biggest sectors of the economy! https://t.co/P3JPpCEWWF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Even I get bored by how much I go on about housing, but it’s a third of household consumption and housing + transportation is half (!) so it’s genuinely much more important than other issues. — PolitiTweet.org

Robinson Meyer @robinsonmeyer

have at long last and semi-involuntarily become a Housing Guy. every problem in america goes back to housing costs.… https://t.co/T3q5gcXV7J

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@KelseyTuoc @moskov @JerusalemDemsas This is where I both feel like a sucker for having swallowed something on such flimsy evidence but also that people I trusted were putting forward misleading accounts. https://t.co/KFQAKm9Y8p https://t.co/IZ46KaHNc1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

I am two years older than my wife as God meant things to be … but it seems okay with me if there is some variation from the average? — PolitiTweet.org

Richard Hanania @RichardHanania

Biden's granddaughter is three years older than her husband. This is the America that they want. https://t.co/5iee32lL7b

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@moskov @JerusalemDemsas We heard an awful lot about that Corolla — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@alon_levy I think even the staunchest Martin Men have to give up on the dream. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

People are perennially frustrated with polling because what they most want to know is “who will win the close races” but as @nataliemj10 keeps trying to remind people that’s exactly the thing polling can’t tell you. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Joe Biden’s watergate https://t.co/AqsfnvkF2W — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

No conservative uncle at my family’s gathering this year but I need to face off against some leftist step-siblings — did you know Our Revolution incumbent endorsees underperformed Biden by 2.9 percentage points vs an average of 1.8 points for all House Dem incumbents? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

It’s not my dream of doing The Hunt for Red October on the Rewatchables, but happy to be making inroads in the Ringer. — PolitiTweet.org

Derek Thompson @DKThomp

New ep: Thanksgiving Week Mega-Pod! https://t.co/Bhb9uJ5XMC 1. Me on the Interest Rate Theory of Everything—why r… https://t.co/AlrqmUzHUs

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Anyone have any advice on how to argue about politics with my relatives at Thanksgiving this year? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@emilythorson @VinArceneaux @TaliaStroud I’m gonna dig in, thanks for the recommendations! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Energy costs are a racial justice* issue. https://t.co/P3JPpCEWWF https://t.co/GMttwPUN5a — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

So who cares? You’re free not to care! I don’t think predicting elections is the most important part of coverage politics. But in practice people ask me a lot what I think is going to happen in the future. 538 forecasts aren’t perfect but they are the best resource I know of. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

You can also look it up for senate, for governor, and for the electoral college — across all four categories they are much better than guesswork but the governors races are less impressive than the other three. https://t.co/5lD7MewaE8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Well you check for calibration — if someone makes a lot of predictions, then about 4-out-10 of the times they say something has a 40% chance of happening, it should happen. Here’s a chart of the calibration of 538’s House forecasts. https://t.co/DO9hg57Icm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Let’s talk about Five Thirty Eight and calibration! They said Republicans would probably win the senate but in fact Democrats gained a seat. So is @NateSilver538 full of shit? No, the forecast said this was close and either outcome was very possible. But is that useless? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Cognitive behavioral therapy, especially for first-time offenders, can get a sizable number of people to avoid doing new crimes after release. — PolitiTweet.org

William Arbour @williamarbour

I ask: is CBT effective at reducing recidivism among incarcerated adults? Does CBT work well in an incarceration se… https://t.co/5vVgWq1sm8

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Banal messages are fine in ads, but as a comms strategy the challenge is that in a non-experimental setting it’s hard to get anyone to pay attention to you if you’re saying this stuff. Interesting practical challenge is how to get more lift for this sort of normie dem stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

The top-performing messages are almost achingly banal. https://t.co/WP22n4mrwS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

The message test stuff in here is really interesting — PolitiTweet.org

Data for Progress @DataProgress

NEW: We’re excited to release our post-election report, a culmination of our 2022 polling and message analysis. De… https://t.co/2JzNO6lMED

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Is Mike Pence underrated as a 2024 contender? “Supported Trump wholeheartedly but opposed Trump’s efforts to have Mike Pence murdered” does seem like the GOP sweet spot and nobody is more credible than Pence about this. — PolitiTweet.org

Adam Wren @adamwren

Big ratings for @Mike_Pence’s sit down with @DavidMuir: World News Tonight scored its most-watched telecast (9.191… https://t.co/MAh8ydPXly

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

training ai to conquer the world seems like it might have some downsides — PolitiTweet.org

Mike Lewis @ml_perception

New paper in Science today on playing the classic negotiation game "Diplomacy" at a human level, by connecting lang… https://t.co/MFbRh5AkB7

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

You read this and think it’s going to be about the CIA staging a coup or something but it’s actually a complaint that Vogue, rather than the White House press corps, was given access to Naomi Biden’s wedding. https://t.co/FFidp9snTl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

RT @EricLevitz: This @dylanmatt piece spotlights an important reality that's often elided in the discourse: The U.S. safety-net has grown *… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Retweet Hibernated
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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Dems scored a persuasion win in the face of significant turnout headwinds — can read that as good or bad news depending on your taste. — PolitiTweet.org

Josh Kraushaar @JoshKraushaar

“Philadelphia’s share of the state’s total Democratic vote has dropped from 20% in 2016 to 15% this year. Overall… https://t.co/PExBtkyS11

Posted Nov. 22, 2022 Hibernated