Matthew Yglesias

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

It’s not my dream of doing The Hunt for Red October on the Rewatchables, but happy to be making inroads in the Ringer. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Anyone have any advice on how to argue about politics with my relatives at Thanksgiving this year? — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@emilythorson @VinArceneaux @TaliaStroud I’m gonna dig in, thanks for the recommendations! — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Energy costs are a racial justice* issue. https://t.co/P3JPpCEWWF https://t.co/GMttwPUN5a — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

So who cares? You’re free not to care! I don’t think predicting elections is the most important part of coverage politics. But in practice people ask me a lot what I think is going to happen in the future. 538 forecasts aren’t perfect but they are the best resource I know of. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

You can also look it up for senate, for governor, and for the electoral college — across all four categories they are much better than guesswork but the governors races are less impressive than the other three. https://t.co/5lD7MewaE8 — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Well you check for calibration — if someone makes a lot of predictions, then about 4-out-10 of the times they say something has a 40% chance of happening, it should happen. Here’s a chart of the calibration of 538’s House forecasts. https://t.co/DO9hg57Icm — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Let’s talk about Five Thirty Eight and calibration! They said Republicans would probably win the senate but in fact Democrats gained a seat. So is @NateSilver538 full of shit? No, the forecast said this was close and either outcome was very possible. But is that useless? — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Cognitive behavioral therapy, especially for first-time offenders, can get a sizable number of people to avoid doing new crimes after release. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Banal messages are fine in ads, but as a comms strategy the challenge is that in a non-experimental setting it’s hard to get anyone to pay attention to you if you’re saying this stuff. Interesting practical challenge is how to get more lift for this sort of normie dem stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

The top-performing messages are almost achingly banal. https://t.co/WP22n4mrwS — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

The message test stuff in here is really interesting — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Is Mike Pence underrated as a 2024 contender? “Supported Trump wholeheartedly but opposed Trump’s efforts to have Mike Pence murdered” does seem like the GOP sweet spot and nobody is more credible than Pence about this. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

training ai to conquer the world seems like it might have some downsides — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

You read this and think it’s going to be about the CIA staging a coup or something but it’s actually a complaint that Vogue, rather than the White House press corps, was given access to Naomi Biden’s wedding. https://t.co/FFidp9snTl — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

RT @EricLevitz: This @dylanmatt piece spotlights an important reality that's often elided in the discourse: The U.S. safety-net has grown *… — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Dems scored a persuasion win in the face of significant turnout headwinds — can read that as good or bad news depending on your taste. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

That’s the right price but IMO would be better to formally commit with futures etc rather than saying stuff — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Stories of steady progress over time tend not to be told and when they are told they tend not to be read, but they’re very important to understand. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Make business attire great again — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

@Erin_Weir @EScrimshaw The point is that even though the election results turned out better than I thought for Democrats it’s *still true* that neither the political (narrow house GOP majority) nor economic (rising interest rates) circumstances are friendly to welfare expansion. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

If something you say is moderately unlikely to happen does in fact happen, you’re discredited — that’s how it works. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Faced with inflation and divided control of congress, Democrats need an agenda for growth and economic equality that's not just about taxes and spending — here are some big ideas. https://t.co/P3JPpCEWWF — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

I should probably watch "Piranha 2: The Spawning" at some point. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Okay but James Cameron made the highest-grossing film of all time and then *broke his own record* to make the new highest-grossing film of all time. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

This is my 2024 platform. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

In which Yair Netanyahu explains to Kanye that he should direct his ire just as (((cosmopolitans) in (((Hollywood))) and not at the good Jews like him. https://t.co/IwbHTNRvPX — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

RT @veroderugy: How to promote growth and equality without raising taxes https://t.co/vRthcHsWmn — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Pro-growth reforms that boost equality: — Land use and zoning to increase housing supply — Tear down medical provider cartels — Address permitting barriers to energy deployment https://t.co/P3JPpCEp77 — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Arthur Okun says there’s a “big tradeoff” between equality and efficiency because redistribution is a “leaky bucket.” But a lot of actually existing leaky buckets redistributive resources to the rich. https://t.co/P3JPpCEp77 — PolitiTweet.org