Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2022

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Wed Aug 24 06:03:45 +0000 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

But the caution flag on Dem overperformance? These have all been low-turnout specials decided by a fraction of November's likely electorate. Here's special election votes as a % of total 2020 votes cast: #CA22: 37% #TX34: 14% #NE01: 38% #MN01: 32% #NY19: 36% #NY23: 23% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 24, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

House special election results since start of June: #CA22 (6/7, Trump +5): R+24 #TX34 (6/14, Biden +4): R+5 ------(Dobbs)------- #NE01 (6/28, Trump +11): R+5 #MN01 (8/9, Trump +10): R+4 #NY19 (8/23, Biden +2): D+2 #NY23 (8/23, Trump +11): R+7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 24, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

For context: last November, when Rs massively outperformed in NJ/VA, here was the turnout as a % of total 2020 votes cast: NJ: 58% VA: 74% This isn't to say the enviro hasn't improved for Dems. It has. But specials can't tell us extent of improvement w/ the fuller electorate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 24, 2022