Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked July 27, 2021

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Wed Jun 23 07:19:56 +0000 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Logicornotlogic @baseballot Thanks, I had no idea! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 23, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yes, there are ~100k absentees that are likely to favor Garcia, but to my eye there could also be ~30k unreported votes in the Bronx, where Adams has an enormous lead (h/t @baseballot). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 23, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There are three reasons I’m up to ~95% on Adams: 1) Bronx is likely underreported 2) ballot exhaustion in later rounds should help him quite a bit 3) voters’ approach to the contest likely a lot less ideological than media/Twitter framing — PolitiTweet.org

I’m ~90% confident this thing is over. That’s not enough for an ISE (that’d be more like ~98%), but getting there.

Posted June 23, 2021