Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Here's how I roughly think about the map. If Biden wins popular vote by... 3% or less: Trump probably wins AZ/PA, wins w/ 279+ EVs 4-7%: Biden flips AZ/MI/PA/WI/#NE02 wins ~290 EVs 8-9%: adds some combo of FL/GA/NC/TX, wins 305-388 EVs 10% or more: adds IA/OH/#ME02, wins 413 EVs — PolitiTweet.org