Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked April 25, 2022

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Mon Nov 02 13:10:14 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@MikeDelMoro @Morning_Joe https://t.co/rrx2ihpwZG — PolitiTweet.org

p.s. Willie didn't ask about Nebraska or Maine, but would have said Biden will win #NE02 comfortably and probably w… https://t.co/t4U7g6cyuQ

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Tbh wouldn't be shocked by any of the 16 possible win/loss combinations in FL/GA/NC/TX (although it's more likely the states fall mostly in one direction than split down the middle). It's a big reason why the line between ~290 and ~400 EVs for Biden is astonishingly thin. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's how I roughly think about the map. If Biden wins popular vote by... 3% or less: Trump probably wins AZ/PA, wins w/ 279+ EVs 4-7%: Biden flips AZ/MI/PA/WI/#NE02 wins ~290 EVs 8-9%: adds some combo of FL/GA/NC/TX, wins 305-388 EVs 10% or more: adds IA/OH/#ME02, wins 413 EVs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2020 Hibernated Just a Typo