Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

Created

Tue Oct 27 01:34:52 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

How do we know Trump isn't getting anywhere near his '16 margins in MI, PA, etc.? Follow the money. Even *Republican* groups are seeing/releasing surveys showing Trump slipping badly in key MI/PA districts, and making spending decisions accordingly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Four years ago, these district-level polls showed flashing red warning signs for Clinton in heavily white working-class districts (see below), but many people overlooked them. https://t.co/Da2hFcEhIJ — PolitiTweet.org

New Siena poll in #NY22 (Binghamton/Utica): Trump ahead 46%-32% in a district where Obama/Romney tied at 49% in '12. https://t.co/RkY4RG38Bg

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've seen a few hot takes that district-level polls are "even worse" for Trump than state/national polls. Tbh, I think that's a bit of an illusion. Why? A disproportionate share of defection from Trump since '16 has taken place in the competitive districts that are being polled. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated