Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked June 3, 2021

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Fri Jul 24 20:20:18 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now, I should also note that Marist also under-sampled non-college whites (per CPS-based estimates) in #GAGOV, where it was pretty much on target, and in #NVSEN, where it showed Rosen (D) trailing 44-46 in early Oct. (she ultimately won by 5). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's Marist's breakdown of college/non-college whites in '18 likely voter pools (vs. Census/CPS-based estimates): AZ: 34/32 (32/41) FL: 30/33 (27/40) IN: 37/47 (31/55) MN: 41/45 (39/50) MO: 38/47 (32/52) TN: 32/45 (32/50) WI: 39/48 (34/57) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

But on balance, weighting whites by education might have gotten Marist closer to the true result in more states. Would it explain the entire gap? No. But would it strongly suggest weighting for education in the future? I'd say so. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated