Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked June 2, 2021

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Fri Jul 24 20:06:14 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's Marist's breakdown of college/non-college whites in '18 likely voter pools (vs. Census/CPS-based estimates): AZ: 34/32 (32/41) FL: 30/33 (27/40) IN: 37/47 (31/55) MN: 41/45 (39/50) MO: 38/47 (32/52) TN: 32/45 (32/50) WI: 39/48 (34/57) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

What's one thing these surveys had in common? In all seven cases, non-college whites were seriously under-sampled relative to their share of the actual electorate based on estimates using Census/CPS data compiled after the election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now, I should also note that Marist also under-sampled non-college whites (per CPS-based estimates) in #GAGOV, where it was pretty much on target, and in #NVSEN, where it showed Rosen (D) trailing 44-46 in early Oct. (she ultimately won by 5). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 24, 2020 Hibernated