Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 16, 2020

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Mon Nov 04 23:19:21 +0000 2019

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The good news for Dems: non-college whites will be a slightly lower % of eligible voters in '20 vs. '16. Here was the change from '16 to '18, per my analysis of Census data (in millions): Non-college whites: 105.3➡️102.4 College whites: 49.2➡️52.3 Non-whites: 69.6➡️73.9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

OTOH, my best estimate is that there were 32.9 million eligible *non-whites* who didn't vote in 2016. But they're disproportionately concentrated in states like CA, NY, TX, etc. - not the Upper Midwest. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Another reason Dems shouldn't extrapolate 2018 into 2020: by my math, there were roughly *52 million* eligible non-college whites who didn't vote in 2018 vs. only 13.7 million eligible college whites who didn't vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Deleted Hibernated Just a Typo