Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 16, 2020

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Mon Nov 04 23:06:11 +0000 2019

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

OTOH, my best estimate is that there were 32.9 million eligible *non-whites* who didn't vote in 2016. But they're disproportionately concentrated in states like CA, NY, TX, etc. - not the Upper Midwest. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

My best estimate (based on Census turnout data) is that nationally, there were 44.4 million eligible non-college whites who didn't vote in 2016, vs. only 9.3 million eligible college whites who didn't vote. Certainly room for improvement for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

@benwikler One other really critical point: @benwikler concedes that we just don't know how deep the pool of non-c… https://t.co/guRWYZLeJe

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The good news for Dems: non-college whites will be a slightly lower % of eligible voters in '20 vs. '16. Here was the change from '16 to '18, per my analysis of Census data (in millions): Non-college whites: 105.3➡️102.4 College whites: 49.2➡️52.3 Non-whites: 69.6➡️73.9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated