Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Wed Dec 07 15:26:27 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@MappingFL but even besides the campaign v. analyst way of thinking, i actually do disagree with what you've said -- you win at *50%* +1, not any raw vote tally. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@MappingFL i definitely think there's a huge campaign v. analysis gap on this stuff. i've seen it before. and i get why that's how you have to think: ground game tries to turnout each voter one at a time, for example. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@MappingFL i think if they think that way, they're wrong about that though. even if you prefer to think in vote margins, it does still have to be conditional on a certain level of statewide turnout in a given election -- not the turnout from a prior election — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022