Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Thu Nov 17 14:40:46 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

NV: Trafalgar D+2 v. reg D+3 AZ: Trafalgar R+4; reg R+4 PA: Trafalgar D+4; reg D+5 Actual electorate likely more GOP in each case — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trafalgar blames the turnout. This is not the first time a pollster has blamed turnout -- it's a convenient excuse, even though it's usually not credible. Interestingly, Trafalgar had very Dem samples by registration, so I doubt this is the issue https://t.co/nuwXKQkHiJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

NYT/Siena, in comparison, had the more GOP electorate (and I expect the more accurate one when all the data arrives) yet had the more Democratic result: NV - Even AZ - R+8 PA - D+1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022 Just a Typo