Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 30, 2023

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Mon Nov 14 02:35:18 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There are also some good reasons to think -- and you should follow @Garrett_Archer and @Jamal___James on this stuff -- that the remaining Maricopa vote is pretty red and exurban. So that would shade me toward caution — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In this particular case, I don't think this is in that tier of absolute certainty. Lake definitely needs to do better than what she's been doing, but not something nearly inconceivable. It's not even the ~ 25 pts better that Laxalt needed at this time last night, before Clark — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One last way to put it. Imagine that, hypothetically, Lake got 65% of the vote tomorrow. What hard fact could I put forward to explain why I thought that was *impossible.* I don't think there is one. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022