Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 17, 2022

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Mon Oct 31 20:05:03 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And I don't really see any evidence that the 'cheap' polls have fixed the Trump nonresponse problem, either. Just as an example: the last Trafalgar poll in PA had Fetterman leading among whites and doing the same in-and-out of the Philadelphia DMA (ie: leading outside of Philly) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The cheap polls flooding the market right now... do not have good and representative samples. They could easily come closer to the final results! But not because they've figured out how to sample the population especially well https://t.co/OdNvk8pPxy — PolitiTweet.org

Herschel Walker % of Black vote in GOP vs nonpartisan polls: InsiderAdvantage (R): 19% CoEfficient (R): 22% Rasmuss… https://t.co/vqO76cghi2

Posted Oct. 31, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I was pretty paranoid about this and there’s definitely room for confusion. The voter file we used for polling still characterizes the 2010 CDs as the districts, with 2020 as “proposed.” — PolitiTweet.org

Update | From an Emerson spokeswoman: "We weighted New Mexico data based off a voter registration model rather than… https://t.co/Op5w6LkSfB

Posted Nov. 1, 2022