Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 17, 2022

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Mon Oct 31 19:53:48 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The cheap polls flooding the market right now... do not have good and representative samples. They could easily come closer to the final results! But not because they've figured out how to sample the population especially well https://t.co/OdNvk8pPxy — PolitiTweet.org

Herschel Walker % of Black vote in GOP vs nonpartisan polls: InsiderAdvantage (R): 19% CoEfficient (R): 22% Rasmuss… https://t.co/vqO76cghi2

Posted Oct. 31, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

White reg. Dems were 28% more likely to respond than white reg. Reps. That's nothing like our national polling and quite a bit like 2020, when party quota/weighting was insufficient. That's a troubling sign for nonresponse bias https://t.co/pOmfH1hLBX — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Were there any trends in partisan non-response bias? What are the characteristics of the voters who want… https://t.co/X1xSIpI72d

Posted Oct. 31, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And I don't really see any evidence that the 'cheap' polls have fixed the Trump nonresponse problem, either. Just as an example: the last Trafalgar poll in PA had Fetterman leading among whites and doing the same in-and-out of the Philadelphia DMA (ie: leading outside of Philly) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2022