Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 16, 2022

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Fri Oct 28 20:00:16 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Redistrict (I say after '20 bc incumbents really struggled to outrun Trump/Biden in '20. A guy like Cartwright would have gone down in '20 in an R+4 environment. Maybe he will in the end, but the polling doesn't seem to show such a tight relationship between pres and ballot so far) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

(I say after '20 bc incumbents really struggled to outrun Trump/Biden in '20. A guy like Cartwright would have gone down in '20 in an R+4 environment. Maybe he will in the end, but the polling doesn't seem to show such a tight relationship between pres and ballot this time) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022 Just a Typo

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SeanTrende i think that's fair, but rightly or wrongly i can't say that was my prior coming out of 2020 given the strength of the pres ~ house relationship — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2022