Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 13, 2023

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Fri Oct 28 19:59:59 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

(I say after '20 bc incumbents really struggled to outrun Trump/Biden in '20. A guy like Cartwright would have gone down in '20 in an R+4 environment. Maybe he will in the end, but the polling doesn't seem to show such a tight relationship between pres and ballot this time) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022 Just a Typo

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

An additional layer--which @Redistrict may disagree w, DK--is that it does seem like, in general, the incumbents are holding up better than I would have guessed after '20 A lot of the D weakness is open seat https://t.co/OIYM7yTmyK — PolitiTweet.org

FWIW, I see the four NYT/Siena polls as consistent with our House ratings and forecast of a 12-25 seat GOP gain.… https://t.co/XvR0yXYdPR

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Redistrict (I say after '20 bc incumbents really struggled to outrun Trump/Biden in '20. A guy like Cartwright would have gone down in '20 in an R+4 environment. Maybe he will in the end, but the polling doesn't seem to show such a tight relationship between pres and ballot so far) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022