Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Nov. 11, 2022

Created

Fri Oct 14 15:29:44 +0000 2022

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kwcollins the good case, imo, is that people look at 47.23-48.23 and think it's as precise as like the latest numbers from the s&p 500. that's a serious case, to me. idk whether it outweighs damage from imprecise findings and downstream misinterpretation, but it's a good case — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 14, 2022

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kwcollins i think there's a good case for rounding but idk if i think that's it. i don't see the 'rounding' deterring those overly precise interpretations. what i do see is that a loss of precision yielding different and often worse interpretations under a lot of circumstances — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 14, 2022

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kwcollins i think the estimate should be sufficiently precise that readers/public don't interpret it differently than it actually is. the confidence interval is irrelevant in that formulation, imo, even if it ought to be relevant — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 14, 2022