Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@baseballot @LoganDobson well the model does know about the RGV shift -- it just doesn't take it as seriously as a model trained only on recent data, for ex. if you think this is an R+2 CD, not sure you need to know the rest here to have a very different answer than 538 / understand the DCCC — PolitiTweet.org