Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Oct. 4, 2022

Created

Sun Aug 07 20:50:43 +0000 2022

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DanGamarnik @davidshor @RStateBState @wpmarble what? all of these analyses are either weighted by vote tallies (the precinct aggregation) or downstream of popualtion-level sampling (the poll data). this is just not the problem here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2022

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias indeed, we can check. the final times/siena poll showed Biden at 55% among validated voters in precincts where hispanics were >70% of the population. the actual results gave him 46%. so that's pretty good evidence our data was bad — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2022

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DanGamarnik @davidshor @RStateBState @wpmarble reading through this convo, i wonder whether it would be more productive to stop thinking about this in terms of EI and more in terms of observable survey error — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2022