Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2022

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Fri Aug 05 23:18:04 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@doug_rivers i'm trying to be with family tonight, but i'll bite: what are you actually disagreeing with here? the ANES results grossly overestimated Biden before they threw a sloppy post-hoc correction on there. why should I put great stock in an ANES-based subgroup estimate? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias it's not the regression that's ultimately dispositive--it's that the combination of hard results, turnout data and survey data wind up creating restrictions on the range of plausible stories about what happened / have serious implications for our interpretation of surveys alone — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@AlecMacGillis we had an easy crossing a few days ago — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2022