Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 3, 2022

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Fri Aug 05 21:34:02 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias it's really not just the regression, to be clear. we have the results by precinct, we have turnout data from the voter file and we have polling data joined to all of it. all of these data need to be reconciled. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias one last thing--i do think there should be a much higher burden of proof on dismissing ecological evidence in the case of elections, where we have all of the turnout/voter file, survey and results data to help make sense of these effects — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@wpmarble @BrendanNyhan @mattyglesias it's not the regression that's ultimately dispositive--it's that the combination of hard results, turnout data and survey data wind up creating restrictions on the range of plausible stories about what happened / have serious implications for our interpretation of surveys alone — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2022