Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 13, 2022

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Mon Jul 11 12:22:09 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I have a lot to say about methodology that I just couldn't get done before we started publishing these articles, so you'll have to wait for some deep dives later this week or next week. But I do want to make a couple of observations that help explain Biden's unusual weakness — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 11, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Joe Biden has a 33% approval rating in the first Times/Siena poll of the cycle, as a majority of Democrats look for other options. @ShaneGoldmacher with the story https://t.co/JumDo5LEEP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 11, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

1) While I haven't finished crunching the data, the nonresponse environment is pretty clearly different than '20. In this poll, weighting shifted the results toward the Biden by 1 point. In 2020, weighting shifted our polls an average of 4 pts toward GOP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 11, 2022