Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 24, 2022

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Thu May 26 13:34:50 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And there would be a much larger group of seats for Democrats to target. Today, there are 56 plausibly competitive seats for Democrats--those that voted for Biden or within 10 points of the national vote. There would be 73 such seats under a proportional Senate — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 26, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So the Democrats would still have a harder time taking the chamber than winning the popular vote. But they probably gain a little more than the shift in the mean-median gap makes it seem: The 25 Biden states would now be worth 56 seats, up from 50. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 26, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So TLDR: the chamber would remain biased toward Republicans--almost exactly as biased as the Electoral College. But Democrats would benefit from a much larger pool of competitive seats in the big presidential battlegrounds, even if they still tilt-GOP (PA, MI, FL, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 26, 2022