Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2022

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Wed May 18 23:05:05 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@pollhannes @valeriecbradley i'm not wiling to go too far on a limb and declare this to be so, but in all seriousness the geographic pattern in our data actually is a lot more consistent with the 'shy trump voter' theory or even lying trump voter theory than nonresponse bias — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@pollhannes @valeriecbradley (and is entirely consistent with this geographic pattern, at least on the scale of our data in '16) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@pollhannes @valeriecbradley in general, we would not expect 'partisan nonresponse bias,' let alone one based on the over-engagement of democratic primary voters, to correlate strongly with GOP support by precinct — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022