Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 9, 2022

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Wed May 18 01:43:03 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Here's one simple way to look at it: in Cawthorn's best county, he won the seven Election Day precincts by 406 votes. There are 24 precincts left, so matching that performance exactly would yield 1392 votes. He's down 1533 votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Madison Cawthorn's path to victory is starting to look awfully narrow. Most of the remaining precincts are on his turf--and he'll win them big--but based on the average votes per precinct so far, he would probably need to win them by >30 pts. He isn't doing that anywhere — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Doesn't mean he can't pull it off, but he'll need these precincts to be among his very best of the night. And there are still five precincts from Henderson County, where he's losing the Election Day vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022