Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 7, 2022

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Wed May 18 00:29:32 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One not-entirely-surprising pattern so far this primary season: Trump-backed candidates faring best on Election Day; moderates faring well in the early vote. PA is an especially clear case right now. All of the GOP vote you see is mail. It's like looking at a different universe. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The first seven Election Day precincts offer some fragmentary but real hope for Madison Cawthorn, who still trails by 11 points in the count of mainly early votes. He's faring 14 points better in the Election Day vote than he did in the early vote from the same counties — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Madison Cawthorn's path to victory is starting to look awfully narrow. Most of the remaining precincts are on his turf--and he'll win them big--but based on the average votes per precinct so far, he would probably need to win them by >30 pts. He isn't doing that anywhere — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022