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Thu Mar 03 22:53:29 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @lxeagle17 @SpecialPuppy1 @hodgesmr @mehdirhasan @ashe_cs i was admittedly thinking at the individual level, like adjusting support scores on the logit scale, with the deep south consisting of unpersuadable voters. i agree that county level swing is astonishingly linear--ie not the proportionate swing model implied by those '16 maps — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2022