Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@arnonmishkin @davidshor @lxeagle17 @SpecialPuppy1 @hodgesmr @mehdirhasan @ashe_cs (in contrast, there was a very distinct pattern among democrats, where democrats had retained the support of more racially resentful white working class northerners) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @lxeagle17 @SpecialPuppy1 @hodgesmr @mehdirhasan @ashe_cs i was admittedly thinking at the individual level, like adjusting support scores on the logit scale, with the deep south consisting of unpersuadable voters. i agree that county level swing is astonishingly linear--ie not the proportionate swing model implied by those '16 maps — PolitiTweet.org