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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 24, 2022

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Wed Dec 29 17:49:17 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I broadly agree with this, though I'd add one additional twist on how to think about redistricting by seat: whether we're comparing to the actual outcome in 2020 or a hypothetical expected outcome on the old map in 2022 https://t.co/xrOKQaTZX6 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Thread: which party is "ahead" in redistricting? In my view, it's close to a wash. But the truth is, it depends whi… https://t.co/GOQaEfWqaF

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To my eye, it's an improvement for the GOP. CD-7 looks like it's Biden+7 (while CD-10 was Biden+9 before), so that's probably on net-a good trade for the GOP. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Take VA, for instance. Dave treats this as an R+1 shift, since Dems aren't favored to hold VA-2 (which is true). But they probably would have won VA-2 in 2020 (this is still a Biden CD). So I'm not sure I'd call this a loss due to redistricting https://t.co/gPJxcwzmKt — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Virginia's new map is another good example. One R-leaning seat moves to D-leaning: #VA07, which helps Rep. Abigail… https://t.co/SpT9R2kIWO

Posted Dec. 29, 2021