Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 21, 2022

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Tue Dec 28 17:53:20 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw that's not necessarily a vigorous critique of a model in favor of presidential vote, to be clear. but it's definitely a reason why i want both. i think nevada is the archetypal case here — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw you're using an empirical training set in an era when the correlation between house ~ pres has increased to .98, and in a year when the maps are newly drawn (house ~ pres relationship is higher in newly drawn CDs, due to diminished incumbency etc) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw reiterating that this isn't a critique of the model (i've been through this exercise five straight cycles or whatever), i think it's fair to say that there's a different, legitimate perspective to be had on the Nevada data https://t.co/DSWpWqh4pn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2021