Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 21, 2022

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Tue Dec 28 17:51:16 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw you're using an empirical training set in an era when the correlation between house ~ pres has increased to .98, and in a year when the maps are newly drawn (house ~ pres relationship is higher in newly drawn CDs, due to diminished incumbency etc) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw i think there's a pretty good case to be more circumspect on the choice between model and biden vote — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw that's not necessarily a vigorous critique of a model in favor of presidential vote, to be clear. but it's definitely a reason why i want both. i think nevada is the archetypal case here — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2021