Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 16, 2021

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Tue Nov 02 19:53:03 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Fox poll? That was a kind of crazy turnout scenario--GOP 8 pts better with LVs than RVs. It's not impossible, but it's less likely as turnout goes up. And I would say that's *one* of the routes Youngkin had to victory, even if it was not likeliest — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Nonetheless, we have learned something from these turnout reports: turnout is fairly high. We could head to 3 million votes. Higher turnout, in general, reduces the likelihood of crazy turnout scenarios — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A few 4pm turnout updates going around, and they basically all point to a very large turnout well above 2017. Fairfax and Alexandria basically at 2017 numbers already, poised to go well over Rockingham, a heavily GOP county, is already well over 2017 levels — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2021