Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 3, 2021

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Sat Oct 23 14:04:15 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In terms of young voters today, the same story holds. Yes, there's poll-by-poll variance. And yes, it's hard to harmonize different polls with different definitions. But the overall story is pretty clear: on average, his approval is under 50% Here, for ex, standard 'media' polls https://t.co/uKsAp94lGi — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There is invariably quite a bit of noise, survey by survey. These are often small samples. That's why aggregation is important and why the alternative--where pollsters dwell on the crosstabs of their own single poll--is dangerous and routinely leads to some horrible stories — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's also really important to make sure comparisons hold across similar methods, like, say, comparing to prior '20 RDD phone polls, rather than the exits. While the topline results are often similar, different survey methods often have huge underlying biases by subgroup — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021