Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 3, 2021

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Sat Oct 23 14:04:15 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There is invariably quite a bit of noise, survey by survey. These are often small samples. That's why aggregation is important and why the alternative--where pollsters dwell on the crosstabs of their own single poll--is dangerous and routinely leads to some horrible stories — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's really important to aggregate national polling subgroup data together. It's necessary to tell important stories--like, say, Clinton's weakness among white working class voters back in '16 https://t.co/vPQ1DTmTKe https://t.co/WWViFMs3gP https://t.co/Ak8LAZAgsM — PolitiTweet.org

So we’re just going to write about what the “polls show” (among subgroups!) and pretend like there aren’t large, me… https://t.co/b9aFRaSRaH

Posted Oct. 23, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In terms of young voters today, the same story holds. Yes, there's poll-by-poll variance. And yes, it's hard to harmonize different polls with different definitions. But the overall story is pretty clear: on average, his approval is under 50% Here, for ex, standard 'media' polls https://t.co/uKsAp94lGi — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 23, 2021