Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2021

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Fri Oct 15 16:10:07 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Less verifiable: NYT/Siena respondents from VA over the years (4k respondents, mainly '18 congressional races, but also VA gov and national subsamples) who voted early had Trump approval of 31-68, v. 46-53 among full sample — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 15, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One verifiable measure (if you have a voter file) is primary vote history. By our definition (which isn't terribly sensitive), it's Dem 51, Rep 25 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 15, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And least verifiable, but entirely consistent with the above measures: Biden at 67% among early voters statewide based on some standard models synthesizing polling and voter file data — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 15, 2021