Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 21, 2021

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Fri Aug 13 11:55:01 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The story for why Democrats aren't any stronger is pretty well-known. They've lost ground among white no college and Hispanic voters. Their losses among Latinos not only rival their losses among white working class voters, but are more than enough to cancel demographic shifts — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 13, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But a lot of it is that the Dems, on net, really just aren't any stronger. Biden 20 and Obama 12 both won the national vote by 4. The Senate is 50-50; the House is so close that this very data may help cost Democrats the House, by handing more districts to the red states — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 13, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

These trends aren't inevitable. Maybe Dems will even rebound among some of these groups, and suddenly give Democrats a decisive victory. But the last decade of actual election results is a reminder that it's not inevitable. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 13, 2021