Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked July 14, 2021

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Wed Jul 14 11:44:10 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mattyglesias @jon_m_rob fwiw i voted a net-10 seats (assuming counterfactual is post-redistricting), which yield Dems 2.3% of the House assuming DC/PR yield 4 Dem seats, you've only increased Dem share of the senate by 1.9%--since you're not taking anything away from the GOP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PoliticsWolf @jon_m_rob but i'd be interested to see you tease out the likeliest flips (cincinnati, or whatever) from the gains that depend on subjective-to-taste choices (maybe the macomb ex. we went over) and substantive but maybe contested determinations (second VRA CDs in the south) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 13, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mattyglesias @jon_m_rob if you meant the impact of DC/PR on the house, not the senate, the same story holds: 5 seats flipped due to redistricting is more important than 7 seats added in PR/DC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2021