Profile Image

Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No
Hibernated No
Last Checked April 2, 2021

Created

Mon Mar 22 15:21:15 +0000 2021

Likes

13

Retweets

0

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available
Profile Image

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc so winning TX by .5 points doesn't reduce the dem EC-PV gap at all; in fact, it makes it worse if that's the only change you make, since the same shift would expand the Dem lead in the popular vote by some presumably fairly modest amount — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021

Preceded By

Profile Image

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc right but that is subtly different from the EC-PV gap that shor's measuring above. winning a state narrowly may reward you greatly in votes, but only winning a state by more than the prior tipping-point reduces your EC disadvantage v. the popular vote — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021

Followed By

Profile Image

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc no, it's true without a uniform swing; it's wrong if there is a uniform swing, as a uniform swing would have zero effect on the EC-PV gap — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021 Deleted Just a Typo