Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Mon Mar 22 14:52:35 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc If Dem winning TX also involves putting AZ/NV well to the left of the nation as a whole, as it very well might, then Dem gains in TX could reduce the EC gap to zero--but only once they've won TX by the same as the nation as a whole — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc from there, further Dem gains in TX shrink the gap, but only to a point--since Dems didn't win enough EV by more than 4.5 points to win with TX alone. It can only shrink the gap to about 2 points, at which pt NV becomes the tipping point https://t.co/zdGVQfyCLG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc That would either require huge Dem gains in Texas, or it would require Dems losing even more ground in the white north/Midwest--which may be a key part of reducing the EC-PV gap at this point, at least if one assumed big D Sun Belt gains are inevitable (tho maybe they're not) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021