Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus and well that's the disagreement. you're convinced there's basically no effect, though you wouldn't rule it out at the margins in a close race. i think it's just as likely that it could be 'a' driving factor with the potential to be decisive in many contexts — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus if it is a driving factor--and i'm not sure it is, but very well could be--i think it would be very difficult to identify with such a small number of data points and our inability to specify a full model of presidential approval — PolitiTweet.org