Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Mon Mar 08 18:32:13 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus and well that's the disagreement. you're convinced there's basically no effect, though you wouldn't rule it out at the margins in a close race. i think it's just as likely that it could be 'a' driving factor with the potential to be decisive in many contexts — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus i think most of the data that you've introduced suggest it's not 'the' driving factor, but you keep making arguments that dismiss the idea that it's even 'a' driving factor, and i just don't think you have the goods on that — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris @julia_azari @smotus if it is a driving factor--and i'm sure it is, but i think it very well could be--i think it would be very difficult to identify with such a small number of data points and our inability to specify a full model of presidential approval — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2021 Deleted