Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@tbonier @jon_m_rob @otis_reid @ElectProject Incumbent presidents have indeed held up better than average in the RGV (that darkest color is 10 pts of margin, 5 vote share), though until 2012 it would look mainly like a southern thing and it has very limited predictive value in 2012/2020 swing, controlling for demographics — PolitiTweet.org