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Fri Mar 05 19:44:45 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier @jon_m_rob @otis_reid @ElectProject Incumbent presidents have indeed held up better than average in the RGV (that darkest color is 10 pts of margin, 5 vote share), though until 2012 it would look mainly like a southern thing and it has very limited predictive value in 2012/2020 swing, controlling for demographics — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2021