Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Fri Mar 05 17:57:58 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier @otis_reid @ElectProject Add it to the list! When you lose 10 points, it's probably everything. But emphasizing incumbency, like turnout, stands out mainly for being convenient for progressives, not for its supporting evidence, and that's leaving aside the (downballot) evidence to the contrary — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier @otis_reid That's particularly true if you assume, as I do, that the modest turnout swings are probably a function of whatever caused vote switching (though I'm agnostic on how to apportion 'blame' between defund, socialism, stimulus checks, declining immigration salience, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier @otis_reid @ElectProject (Vincente Gonzalez would be very surprised to learn that incumbency explains what happened in the RGV!) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2021