Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Wed Jan 06 01:13:11 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In particular, there's basically no ATL area Election Day vote. If they're going to mount a comeback, doing better than expected there will probably be pretty important https://t.co/UQfyS8yaS5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We're now up to 45k election day votes, and --it's 6% higher than we expected (good for GOP) --Ossoff running .5 pts better than expected. On balance, that's an ok trade for the GOP--but not good enough to be favored Still, GOP could do better in what's left — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's a case for taking the 'over' on the needle. It builds in tabulation errors, which we don't expect but definitely happen (see NC)! And we haven't increased our confidence to reflect that we just had this election. Won't be any Miami-Dades tonight https://t.co/UWbpmR4Vn0 — PolitiTweet.org

Prediction markets being quite a big more aggressive than the Needle. I trust the Needle more, of course. But note… https://t.co/phv87Sq7op

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated