Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Wed Jan 06 01:08:07 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One minor thing to point out about our log. The 'expected' is what the needle expected heading into the update, not what the baseline was at the beginning of the night. So, the greater stability now is a reflection of the needle figuring things out https://t.co/i2oRolXWfk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The key area of uncertainty is the election day vote. So far we only have 22k election day votes. They can do better with what's left — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We're now up to 45k election day votes, and --it's 6% higher than we expected (good for GOP) --Ossoff running .5 pts better than expected. On balance, that's an ok trade for the GOP--but not good enough to be favored Still, GOP could do better in what's left — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Hibernated